• cantsurf@lemm.ee
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        8 months ago

        But its not as shocking if I say that there are a million people in the room and one gets shot per day! (But I mean, that still seems significant to me.)

        In their example, almost everybody is getting shot every year. Happy birthday, BLAM!

        • jeffhykin@lemm.ee
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          8 months ago

          No, no, let’s number out that “nearly everyone”.

          The average 18 year old would have 16 gunshot wounds. But how many 18 year olds would be expected to have no gunshot wounds?

          If it’s a 399/400 chance of not getting shot, and those odds are repeatedly won every day for 36518 days, that would be (399/400)^(36518). Multiply that by a population of 300 million and after rounding we get 🥁…

          22 😂

          Not thousands, not hundreds, but 22 humans out of the entire US population who made it to 18 years old without being shot. Man it really do be getting bad out there.