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Cake day: 2023年6月12日

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  • We messed up when we allowed Ford’s pardon of Nixon before he was convicted. We should only allow pardons after the person was convicted. That created all kinds of paradoxes:

    • creating a blanket pardon “from any crime that we don’t know yet about”
    • possible pocket pardon, where a president could pardon themselves secretly
    • hiring thugs on president benefit and giving pardon right before leaving office. They know they can do anything and will receive a blanket pardon. If president had to wait for conviction then there was no guarantee he would be there to pardon them. So it would make whole escapade more risky
    • total immunity which trump is arguing about would be even less likely if there was no blanket and pocket pardon and he had to wait until being convicted before being able to be pardoned



  • It’s not.

    The red line was placed by US itself as a response to Russia threatening using nuclear weapons if Ukraine gets any help.

    Russia of course didn’t, but adopted that red line itself and used it on its propaganda.

    As they started offensive on Kharkiv, and started bombing Ukraine from behind the border so Ukraine wouldn’t be able to respond, they essentially forced change of that red line.

    US allowed to use of its weapons in that area.

    Now the problem for Russia is:

    • it was easy to say “no Western weapon can be used on territory of Russia”, but now they can’t say “it was fine to use Western weapons on Belogrod, but Rostov-on-don is a red line” that doesn’t work well in propaganda, is putin saying Belogrod isn’t Russia?
    • other Western nations gave permission to use their weapons anywhere in Russia with no restrictions
    • the actual agreement where Ukraine can hit and where it can’t are secret and known only to US and Ukraine

    This means Russia (including maga politicians) once it stops with this sabre rattling, won’t really have much way to use propaganda about future changes.

    The agreement being secret will also allow to be modified without much headlines. We will only learn after the fact. For example Russia reporting they saw fragments of US weapons in different areas. Most won’t care anymore.