I agree… I was simply clarifying that Nate Silver did NOT predict that Hillary would win (nor is he predicting that Trump will win this election), which is a common misunderstanding about probability. For these types of models to be meaningful to the public, there needs to be literacy on what is meant by the percentages given. Really, I’m just reinforcing rodneylives’ point from another angle!
I don’t remember him predicting that she would win. His model (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/) gave her a 71% chance of winning. 71% is a long way from 100%, and the result of that election definitely fit within the model.
That said, you are absolutely correct… we need to keep shining a light on the realities of each of these candidates, because in the light of day Biden is a much better choice than Trump.
Stop j’terrorizing me!
There’s lots of youtube content on this subject… here’s a decent jumping off point, if you’re interested: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Nw6qyyrTeI
I’m not sure what caused your problem, but I can tell you that I am using the Venstar integration with https, and it works fine for me. With that in mind, have you tried removing the thermostat from home assistant entirely, and then adding it back fresh?
I’ve been a best man twice and both times I quoted from “The Prophet” by Kahlil Gibran, specifically the “On Love” section. “On Marriage” and “On Children” also have appropriate words for a wedding.
telegraf is so easy to use and extend
Definitely… you can write custom scripts that Telegraf will run and write that data to Influx. For instance, I have one that writes the Gateway status information from pfSense so I can track and graph any internet downtime.
CPU/RAM/Disk/Network etc. get written to Influxdb via Telegraf, and visualized with Grafana.
Logging and errors go to Graylog stack (Mongodb, Opensearch, Graylog).
Unraid
I think Seven falls in that category.
Kelly-Moore!
invented by people from Pakistan who were just living in India
Pakistan was part of India until 1947. These guys ended up on the Pakistan side of the partition, and then returned to India as refugees.
I’m not sure that it’s fair to say that they weren’t Indian.
Clarification question: Why would you expect somebody to DM you?
I suspect the language would change for those scenarios, so maybe you would say “I slept until midday” rather than “I slept until 12pm”.
Said another way: the game is innovative (for a Mario game), NOT the game is innovative (for a platformer)
erm… 12am is midnight
Don’t you think people just mean that it feels like a Mario game at the same time as feeling fresh? That’s certainly how I felt. It’s “innovative” in the sense that there are things that you didn’t expect, and that’s fun and exciting. I could be wrong, but I don’t think anybody means “innovative” in that it’s ground-breaking in the larger gaming world or even in the platforming genre.
because it’s much, much faster and easier to consume content via video
That totally depends on the content. Using your example, yes, a video of an explosion is going be much more efficient than a block of text about the same explosion. But for something like this, I find it MUCH slower to try to glean the relevant information from a video than from an article. An article can be skimmed easily so I only have to focus on the parts that I care about. Skimming a video, on the other hand, is a pain. Also, if the content is a step-by-step how-to, the video might be OK as long as I can follow along in real time. However, if I have to keep pausing and going back to rewatch a section, then an article is going to be easier to work with.
It was not a prediction of victory… it was a 71% chance of winning the electoral college. Said another way, they gave her a 29% chance of losing.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/